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Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:55 pm
by Rupert Patrick
RRMarshall wrote:]n that most-likely event of the Vikings hosting the Super Bowl, how will the ticket distribution go about as compared to a regular home Vikings game? I’m assuming all season-ticket holders will get automatic dibs. But wouldn’t season-ticket holders of the opposing team all have dibs as well? And then all of those nationwide attending the event no matter who the participants are. I’m sure a share of them won’t even be Vikings-fans. Exactly how much “at-home” would they feel compared to a regular home-game?

And keep this in mind...the AFC champ will technically be the home team meaning they’ll be in the dark unis instead[/i]

Here in NE being a season ticket holder does not mean an automatic Super Bowl ticket. All season ticket holders go into a lottery and the winners get to buy tickets. I assume it works the same for most teams. I also believe the home team gets their choice of jerseys to wear, for example the Cowboys would opt to use their home whites instead of those supposedly jinxed dark jerseys (remember SB V ??)
I've wondered about the Super Bowl ticket distribution also, because I think the host city gets a certain percentage of tickets.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 7:01 pm
by NWebster
Reaser wrote:Patriots and Steelers, which was my preseason AFC CG pick, think win pretty easily. Everyone else in the AFC playoffs is there by default, no one else is good and definitely aren't great. Typical of the quality of the league the last decade or so. Average or above average is good enough to be a "playoff team". If anyone but NE or PIT comes out of the AFC or wins the SB it'd be an extremely weak SB winner.

I picked the Bills last week because their defense is basically as good as Jacksonville's (stats don't say it but watching the games does, to me) and the difference was a 4th and goal TD pass. Otherwise it was an even game, with the Bills, with McCoy somewhat slowed down and the main reason Buffalo lost was Taylor playing conservative. Receivers were open for 10 yard gains/first downs left and right -against Jacksonville's 'legendary' secondary- and he wouldn't pull the trigger. Not to mention downfield he had receivers running open (open, for NFL standards) and he either didn't throw it or he missed the throw. Halfway decent passer would have hit at least half of those -at worst- and Buffalo wins without much trouble.

Jaguars defense is good, but not significantly better than and possibly even equal with teams like the Bills and Chargers (who only missed the playoffs because they were messing around at kicker to start the season). Offense isn't good. Bortles isn't good. Fournette has been trending down the last month of the season (the so-called rookie wall?) and was merely solid but not spectacular before that anyway. Only way they beat Pittsburgh is if Brown isn't good to go, Bell gets injured or Roethlisberger gives the game away like their first game.

Which I keep hearing on TV about that game that the Jaguars ran all over Pittsburgh and Ben kept getting sacked/hit/hurried and Jacksonville forced turnovers. That's not really what I remember (though I'll probably watch the game again this week since no other football to watch). I remember Jacksonville not doing anything on offense. The Steelers moving the ball but settling for FG's once they got to the redzone. And Pittsburgh outplaying Jacksonville before taking the lead until inexplicably the 2nd half gameplan became to throw it nearly every play, go away from Bell and Ben forcing it to Brown even more than he usually does. That was what led to most of the interceptions and the two "pick-sixes" were the difference. Which both came on tipped balls falling right into the Jags hands. It wasn't JAX running all over the Steelers or a million sacks/hurries forcing bad throws or even keeping the Steelers from moving the ball. The Jaguars offense consisted of the game for all intents and purposes being over after the 5th int and Fournette breaking a 90 something yard TD run to give them some offensive stats that had no baring on the outcome of a game that was already decided at that point. One "game over" long TD run. That's practically it.

So Jacksonville didn't dominate offensively and really didn't do anything special on defense other than a good play by Ramsey, the rest were deflections that fell right into their hands (of course tipping the ball is making plays but the ball going right to them was fortunate) and the last couple were thrown up for grabs free interceptions in the final 5 or so minutes. Roethlisberger played poor mixed with an unfortunate tipped pass. I'd be pretty surprised if that repeated itself. Not that Roethlisberger can't throw a couple ints, or that Ramsey can't make a great play, but five with two pick-sixes? Extremely doubtful and if it doesn't happen like that then the Steelers are the clearly better team. I don't think it'll even be that close. Maybe not a blowout -though possible- but a comfortable win.

Patriots over Titans is an easy pick.

The NFC games are the interesting ones, in my opinion. Though i still think Patriots/Steelers winner wins the SB.

I'm picking the Falcons and Saints. Falcons D is underrated and Eagles offense is worse without Wentz, obviously.

Saints-Vikings should be the best game, of the 8 playoff teams left I would want the Vikings to win the SB but if there's an upset this week this would be the game for it.
I really like this Jags team and they have a shot, but I'll bet that this game has 0 pick sixes and 90 yard runs, which would've made the first game a 9-9 overtime affair.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:12 pm
by Reaser
NWebster wrote:I really like this Jags team and they have a shot, but I'll bet that this game has 0 pick sixes and 90 yard runs, which would've made the first game a 9-9 overtime affair.
10-9 Jacksonville in that scenario. They obviously won the game. But to win again -or win like that again- Roethlisberger would have to play poorly and the Jags would still need a few balls to bounce their way. Don't see Ben playing that bad again or the ball falling into Jacksonville's hands again.

I like their defense but think people making it out to already be the '85 Bears or '13 Seahawks is way overboard. Jaguars defense is one of the best this season but arguably not the best in the league, at best they're in the group of a handful of good defenses but to make it like any are legendary when none are that far ahead of the rest doesn't make sense.

As a team I don't think they're that good. Average or maybe above average, OK, but would be a severely weak SB team. They played the games on their schedule and won 10 so they're a 10-6 team. I don't like what-ifs or hypotheticals but I watched every game and saw that even putting the favorable schedule aside that they caught teams at the right time. They got the Texans with Savage (for a half) and Yates. The Titans got the Texans with Watson for one of their two games and that was basically the difference for the division title -- and I don't think the Titans are that good either, which is why I said the rest of the AFC is in by default. Jaguars got swept by Tennessee, lost to the Jets, lost to the 49ers, lost to the Cardinals. They're in the playoffs because they got 4 free divisional wins, free win against the Browns, even got the Bengals when they were off. The impressive wins were destroying the Ravens (though in London and London games are crapshoots by the nature of the games inexplicably and non-legitimate league structurally being in London), beat the Steelers and they beat the Chargers (in OT). They were an average-at-best team that beat the other average teams (Ravens, Chargers, and last week the Bills) and lost to some others (Titansx2) and lost to some bad teams and beat one other playoff team during the regular season. But in the end it was all good enough to win their division. That's the NFL now, a lot of flawed and average teams make the playoffs and then people have to hype them up to make it seem like they're better than they are to try and sell it.

The Patriots and Steelers were going to play eachother in the AFC Championship and that was before the season even started, it was pretty clear, whoever the other teams were would just be making up the field and that's pretty much how it turned out unless the Titans are a real challenge for the Patriots (ha) or the Jaguars upset the Steelers, again. It's still football -sort of- so anything could happen but I'd be surprised if it's not NE-PIT playing next week.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:11 am
by JWL
The AFC games are easy. Why are you guys even thinking about the actual players and strategy and all that other garbage? All you have to do is ask yourself, "How will JWL be miserable from a sports spectator angle?"

Patriots and Steelers it is.



As for the NFC, I can see the Eagles putting up a good fight and I would certainly take them with the points. Without Carson Wentz in action, the Falcons are the better team. Due to the quarterback situation I have to think the Falcons will win.

I have gone back and forth on the late game to the point I won't make a pick yet.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 11:36 am
by sluggermatt15
Rupert Patrick wrote:
7DnBrnc53 wrote:I think the Steelers will win 28-10, but the Pats will struggle. They aren't as good as people think. This is a 9-7 or 8-8 team posing as a 13-3 team. These guys are overrated almost every year.

That being said, they should beat the Titans. I think Pittsburgh will pull off the "upset" the next week, though.
If they're overrated almost every year, how have they won five Super Bowls in 15 years (including two Super Bowl wins, a Super Bowl loss and three losses in the AFC Championship game over the past six seasons), and this is with a constantly changing cast of characters except for the QB and Head Coach. If you look at the 60's Packers, 70's Steelers, 80's 49ers, 90's Cowboys, and all the other top dynasties, you can reel off a list of HOFers who played with each of them, but with the Pats, other than Brady, I can't name too many. There's Vinatieri, who was there from 2001-05, and Junior Seau was there for a couple years chasing a ring, same with Randy Moss. After that, you have Ty Law, who was there from 2001-04 who is a candidate this year, and then you have active guys like Welker and Gronkowski who are way too early to even be talking about Canton. From 2001-16 the Pats have had ten different players lead the team in rushing during the season, and eight different receivers lead the team in catches. There was no true defensive anchor, no Joe Greene or Ray Nitschke or Ronnie Lott. How Belichick does it every year is one of the most amazing things I have ever seen in coaching. The Patriots are a lot of things. Overrated is certainly not one of them.
Easy, as was pointed out, the AFC East can arguably be stated as the weakest division in football since the 2002 realignment. If you put New England in the AFC North and remove Cleveland, I doubt they win the division every year and they might struggle to earn a wild card spot. There's a big difference when you have to play Baltimore's defense twice per year instead of once every three years, especially in the years where the Ravens had Haloti Ngata, Ray Lewis, and Terrell Suggs, Ed Reed, et al. In New England's "perfect" regular season, they barely beat the Ravens in the final minute of the game. Same with the NFC East. That division is a dog fight almost every year in and year out.

Also when you get away with videotaping the other team's defensive signals for years and play with under inflated footballs, those can be clear advantages against your opponent. And not surprising that comes from a coach who does whatever to win and stretches the limits of rules to a very fine margin. On Spygate, "Sorry it was a misinterpretation of a rule." Oops.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:48 pm
by rhickok1109
sluggermatt15 wrote:
Rupert Patrick wrote:
7DnBrnc53 wrote:I think the Steelers will win 28-10, but the Pats will struggle. They aren't as good as people think. This is a 9-7 or 8-8 team posing as a 13-3 team. These guys are overrated almost every year.

That being said, they should beat the Titans. I think Pittsburgh will pull off the "upset" the next week, though.
If they're overrated almost every year, how have they won five Super Bowls in 15 years (including two Super Bowl wins, a Super Bowl loss and three losses in the AFC Championship game over the past six seasons), and this is with a constantly changing cast of characters except for the QB and Head Coach. If you look at the 60's Packers, 70's Steelers, 80's 49ers, 90's Cowboys, and all the other top dynasties, you can reel off a list of HOFers who played with each of them, but with the Pats, other than Brady, I can't name too many. There's Vinatieri, who was there from 2001-05, and Junior Seau was there for a couple years chasing a ring, same with Randy Moss. After that, you have Ty Law, who was there from 2001-04 who is a candidate this year, and then you have active guys like Welker and Gronkowski who are way too early to even be talking about Canton. From 2001-16 the Pats have had ten different players lead the team in rushing during the season, and eight different receivers lead the team in catches. There was no true defensive anchor, no Joe Greene or Ray Nitschke or Ronnie Lott. How Belichick does it every year is one of the most amazing things I have ever seen in coaching. The Patriots are a lot of things. Overrated is certainly not one of them.
Easy, as was pointed out, the AFC East can arguably be stated as the weakest division in football since the 2002 realignment. If you put New England in the AFC North and remove Cleveland, I doubt they win the division every year and they might struggle to earn a wild card spot. There's a big difference when you have to play Baltimore's defense twice per year instead of once every three years, especially in the years where the Ravens had Haloti Ngata, Ray Lewis, and Terrell Suggs, Ed Reed, et al. In New England's "perfect" regular season, they barely beat the Ravens in the final minute of the game. Same with the NFC East. That division is a dog fight almost every year in and year out.

Also when you get away with videotaping the other team's defensive signals for years and play with under inflated footballs, those can be clear advantages against your opponent. And not surprising that comes from a coach who does whatever to win and stretches the limits of rules to a very fine margin. On Spygate, "Sorry it was a misinterpretation of a rule." Oops.
:D :D :D :D :D :D

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 9:11 pm
by 74_75_78_79_
Not too surprised Eagles showed up today, but didn’t think they’d actually win. Pats blow-out Titans next, and Steelers don’t beat themselves yet again to Jags. As for the final game of this year’s divisionals? Really hate to say this being I’d really like to see Vikings finally get a Lombardi (just as long as not at Steelers’ expense), and of course we all know where SBLII is, but I can’t help but see Saints win a convincer. I think more likely than not Brees & Co will start fast and Vikes won’t be able to play catch-up (hey, Saints got a D too). Vikes need to not let NO jump out early if they’re going to have a chance; and if they do pull it off in the end, I think they can get through the Vet next week and get to host that Feb 4th event after all.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:37 am
by 7DnBrnc53
R Hickok:Hmmm ... let's see ... they've gone 25-9 in the playoffs under Belichick. How many of those games were against teams with a losing record?
After tonight, it is 26-9.

And, while they haven't played anyone with a losing record in the playoffs, this is the second straight year that they have defeated a 9-7 team in the divisional round. They also beat an 8-8 team (2011 Broncos) as well. That was the same year that they lost to a 9-7 team in the Super Bowl (the only team to do that, I may add). They also lost a home playoff game to a 9-7 team (2009 against the Ravens).

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:47 am
by Rupert Patrick
Rupert Patrick wrote:I've been trying to figure out this Atlanta Philadelphia game, that the top-seeded Eagles are home underdogs to a number six seed, something we've never seen before. Reading this week's Peter King column, I am inclined to agree that Philly should go with their ground game against the Falcons, play ball control and keep the ball away from Ryan; in short, the same strategy that Bill Parcells did against the Bills in Super Bowl XXV. People seem to overlook the Eagles fourth-ranked defense, who were fourth in the league in turnovers, while Atlanta was 27th in turnovers. My gut says the Eagles should pull this out, but it will be close. 26-20 Eagles.

New England vs. Tennessee is the easiest game to pick this weekend. The Titans are a scrappy team, and I know the Patriots are not going to underestimate them, but it's going to be all New England. Make it 31-10.
I got the final point differences just about right - Eagles won by 5 and Pats won by 21.

The Eagles defense shut down Ryan today; I just don't know if they'll have enough offense to get past the Vikings defense, or if their defense can step up to an even higher level and shut down Brees and company. I doubt the Eagles will be the favorite against either of them next weekend, and for good reason, I just don't think the Eagles can beat either the Vikings or Saints at this point.

The Pats will be hard to beat next weekend.

Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs

Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2018 8:00 am
by 7DnBrnc53
The Pats will be hard to beat next weekend.
If they get the timely help from the officials like they did tonight, then yeah, they will be.